Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research

We study the structure and dynamics of populations and explore issues of political relevance, such as aging, fertility, and the redistribution of work over the life course, as well as digitization and the use of new data sources for the estimation of migration flows.

Press Release | August 05, 2026

Fewer Heart Attacks, More Cancer Cases, and Better Survival Chances

Heart attacks, strokes, and hip fractures are becoming less common. Meanwhile, cancer cases are increasing, and more people are surviving these severe diseases. A new study by the Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research (MPIDR) and the Karolinska Institute examines how medical progress has impacted various diseases in Sweden. More

August

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August

Workshop

Second International Workshop on Life Course Analysis

This workshop invites researchers to present and discuss recent developments in life course analysis . This includes theoretical perspectives on the life course; methodological innovations in quantitative and qualitative methods; and empirical applications of the life course approach from across the social sciences and beyond, including studies on labor markets, health, families, and migration. More

All Events

New Issue 2/2026 available | June 30, 2026

The Quarterly German Newsletter

Research Visit

Population and Social Data Science Summer Incubator Program 2026

Introduction to our research groups

Medical Demography

Publication | July 30, 2026

Individual-Level Mortality Predictions: Statistical Models vs. Machine Learning

Researchers investigated whether traditional statistical and machine learning models could achieve a similarly high level of accuracy in predicting individual-level lifespan. Overall, the results show that machine learning does not significantly improve mortality predictions compared to conventional methods. More

Selected Publications

Conte Keivabu, R.; Cozzani, M.; Wilde, J.:

Temperature and fertility: evidence from Spain Population Studies 79:2, 283–297. (2025)

Andrade Santacruz, J. C.; Camarda, C. G.; Pifarré i Arolas, H.:

Cohort mortality forecasts indicate signs of deceleration in life expectancy gains Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 122:35, e2519179122–e2519179122. (2025)

More Publications